Articles | Volume 6-osr9
https://doi.org/10.5194/sp-6-osr9-10-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/sp-6-osr9-10-2025
30 Sep 2025
 | OSR9 | Chapter 3.3
 | 30 Sep 2025 | OSR9 | Chapter 3.3

Insights into sea surface temperature variability and the impact of long-term warming on marine heatwaves in the Mediterranean Sea

Dimitra Denaxa, Gerasimos Korres, Sofia Darmaraki, and Maria Hatzaki

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Cited articles

Bates, A. E., Cooke, R. S. C., Duncan, M. I., Edgar, G. J., Bruno, J. F., Benedetti-Cecchi, L., Côté, I. M., Lefcheck, J. S., Costello, M. J., Barrett, N., Bird, T. J., Fenberg, P. B., and Stuart-Smith, R. D.: Climate resilience in marine protected areas and the “Protection Paradox”, Biol. Conserv., 236, 305–314, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2019.05.005, 2019.​​​​​​​ 
Beever, E. A., Hall, L. E., Varner, J., Loosen, A. E., Dunham, J. B., Gahl, M. K., Smith, F. A., and Lawler, J. J.: Behavioral flexibility as a mechanism for coping with climate change, Front. Ecol. Environ., 15, 299–308, https://doi.org/10.1002/fee.1502, 2017. 
Cascarano, M. C., Stavrakidis-Zachou, O., Mladineo, I., Thompson, K. D., Papandroulakis, N., and Katharios, P.: Mediterranean aquaculture in a changing climate: Temperature effects on pathogens and diseases of three farmed fish species, Pathogens, 10, 1205, https://doi.org/10.3390/pathogens10091205, 2021.​​​​​​​ 
Chatzimentor, A., Doxa, A., Katsanevakis, S., and Mazaris, A. D.: Are Mediterranean marine threatened species at high risk by climate change?, Glob. Chang. Biol., 29, 1809–1821, https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.16577, 2023. 
Ciappa, A. C.: Effects of Marine Heatwaves (MHW) and Cold Spells (MCS) on the surface warming of the Mediterranean Sea from 1989 to 2018, Prog. Oceanogr., 205, 102828, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2022.102828, 2022. 
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Short summary
The Mediterranean Sea experiences a basin-wide increase in sea surface temperature (SST) and extreme SST occurrences. Stronger warming trends are found in the eastern basin, where a decrease in SST variability is also observed. Our findings on the origin of marine heatwave (MHW) trends in the basin suggest that the mean SST warming drives the long-term trends for most MHW properties across the basin, except for mean MHW intensity, where interannual variability emerges as the dominant driver.
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